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Net importer; tiny coke exports
Energy.
Generation 1,200–1,400 MW vs peak 2,000+ MW. Solar is the obvious answer.
3%
GDP share
5
Players
Profitability snapshot
Solar IPP PPA EBITDA 55–70%; LPG 12–20%
01 · Top players
- ZESA / ZPC / ZETDC
- Centragrid
- DPA (Econet)
- Sino-Hydro
- Tatanga Energy
02 · Advantages
- World-class irradiance
- Strong C&I demand
- RE policy framework
- ZIDA fast-track
03 · Challenges
- Tariff politics
- Wayleaves
- Equipment imports
- Vandalism
04 · Opportunities
- C&I solar PPAs
- Battery assembly
- PAYG rural solar
- E-mobility infrastructure
Snapshot
- Installed capacity ~2,400 MW; effective output 1,200–1,400 MW vs peak demand 2,000+ MW.
- ZESA Holdings is the vertically-integrated utility: ZPC (generation), ZETDC (distribution).
- Import top-up from Eskom, ZESCO (Zambia), HCB (Mozambique); ~US$30 m/month bill.
- Tariffs: c.US$0.105/kWh (residential), c.US$0.135/kWh (commercial) — periodic reviews.
Generation mix
- Kariba South: 1,050 MW (hydro, Zambezi River; capacity-constrained by lake levels — derated to 350–700 MW in drought years).
- Hwange Power Station: 920 MW nameplate (units 1–6 old; Units 7 & 8 add 600 MW since 2023).
- Munyati, Bulawayo, Harare power stations: small coal, frequently offline.
- IPPs: ~30 licensed but only ~10 operating; total ~140 MW (mostly solar PV).
Renewable energy
- Solar irradiance: ~5.7 kWh/m²/day national avg → world-class.
- Notable solar IPPs:
- Centragrid 25 MW (Nyabira) — commissioned 2022, first major grid-tied PV.
- Riverside Energy 25 MW (Harare West) — under construction.
- Harava Solar 20 MW — built and online.
- Helio Africa, Distributed Power Africa (DPA, Econet group) — C&I rooftop solar.
- Wind: very limited resource; small pilot in Eastern Highlands.
- Biogas, biomass: small-scale rural; Triangle co-gen runs on bagasse (~45 MW).
- Mini-hydro: ~30 MW potential across Eastern Highlands.
Distributed / behind-the-meter
- Massive boom in commercial & industrial rooftop solar 2020–25 (load-shedding response).
- Estimated 200+ MW of behind-the-meter solar installed; not officially metered.
- Lithium-ion battery imports surged; CKD imports from China dominate.
Petroleum & gas
- All petroleum imported via Beira–Feruka pipeline (NOIC) and rail/road from RSA.
- Coal-bed methane (Lupane area) exploration in slow progress.
- LPG distribution: Class Energy, NOIC, Total, Engen, Puma, Zuva.
Profitability
| Segment | EBITDA margin | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Solar IPP (PPA) | 55–70% | USD PPAs make this golden |
| C&I rooftop solar lease | 35–50% | Recurring USD revenue |
| Distribution (ZETDC) | <0% subsidised | Tariff politics |
| Fuel retail | 4–8% | Volume game |
| LPG distribution | 12–20% | Growing rapidly |
Challenges
- ZETDC tariff insufficiency, currency mismatch in PPAs historically.
- Land / wayleaves for substations and lines.
- Import-substitution: most PV panels, inverters, batteries imported.
- Vandalism of transformers and copper cables.
- Long PPA approval timelines (often 18–30 months).
- Forex retention rules erode IPP returns.
Advantages
- Solar resource is world-class.
- C&I customer pull is enormous; willing to sign 5–10 yr USD PPAs.
- IPP regulatory framework: Net-metering and Renewable Energy Policy (2019, revised 2023).
- ZIDA fast-tracking IPP approvals via one-stop shop.
- Lithium beneficiation creates local battery feedstock by 2027.
Example companies
- ZESA Holdings / ZPC / ZETDC (state).
- Centragrid Power (IPP).
- Distributed Power Africa (DPA) — Econet group C&I solar.
- Sino-Hydro / Power China — EPC partners for Kariba & Hwange.
- Tatanga Energy — solar EPC.
- GREP / Helio Africa — solar developer.
- NOIC, IPG, Puma Energy, Zuva Petroleum — fuel.
Opportunity hooks
- C&I solar PPAs (5–10 yr USD-denominated) for mines, hotels, factories.
- Mini-grids and pay-as-you-go solar home systems for off-grid rural (1.5 m households).
- Battery assembly and recycling plant (downstream from lithium beneficiation).
- Solar irrigation kits financed via tobacco/horticulture off-take.
- Energy storage as a service (BESS leasing to ZETDC for grid stability).
- E-mobility pilot: battery-swap for last-mile e-bikes in Harare/Bulawayo.
- Cooking-fuel transition: LPG distribution + clean cooking carbon credits.